Coupled Model Simulations of Climate Changes in the 20th Century and Beyond-中国期刊网

摘要 IPCC的几个情形实验第4评价报告(AR4)被在大气的物理的研究所开发的一个灵活联合Ocean-Atmosphere-Land系统模型(FGOALS)的版本g1.0执行，中国科学院(IAP/CAS)包括“第20世纪实验的气候”，“1%每年增加到加倍实验的公司2”和二分开的IPCC温室气体排放情形A1B和B1实验。为了在气候上在自然变化和人的活动的不同影响之间区分，变化，三成员的整体跑为每个情形实验被执行。联合模型模拟出现：(1)从1900～2000，全球吝啬的温度增加大约0.5°C，主要增加发生在第20世纪的以后的一半期间，它在与加亮联合模型的能力自从工业革命，复制气候变化的观察一致；(2)全球吝啬的表面空气温度在分别地在A1B和B1情形加倍实验和1.5°C和2.4°C的CO2增加大约1.6°C。全球温暖被在深海洋的表面温度和降水而且温度增加的变化显示不仅。海水的热扩大将导致全球吝啬的海水平的上升。控制跑和运用的第20世纪气候变化与FGOALS，寒冷在高纬度在偏导的版本g1.1再被执行被移开。他们当时与从FGOALS的版本g1.0的那些相比以便在全球温暖的模拟上区分模型偏爱的效果。

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Coupled Model Simulations of Climate Changes in the 20th Century and Beyond

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Coupled Model Simulations of Climate Changes in the 20th Century and Beyond

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