简介:WintertemperatureinChinaduringthelast500yearswasconstructedbasedonhistoricaldataaboutthefreeze-upevents,theheavysnowandtheagriculturaldamagesbroughtaboutbycoldweathersinEastChina(25°N--35°N,115°E--120°E).Fisrt,thedataaboutthefreezingofriversandlakesandthoseaboutsnowfallinthisregionwerecompiledandevaluatedonthebasisofanordinalscale.Thentheseriesoffreeze-upeventsandheavysnowwereproducedseparatelyandthecombinationoftheseserieswasmadetogenerateaconsistentseriesthatreflectsthechangesinthedegreeofcoldnessinwinterduringthelast500years.Finally,areconstructionofwintertemperaturewascarriedoutataresolutionof10yearsbasedonacalibrationofaregressionbetweenrecenttemperatureobservationsandthecoldwinterseriesconstructed.
简介:Inthispaper,theconceptofstationary-wavenonstationarityispresentedandelucidatedintheframeworkoftheLorenzcirculationdecomposition.Thisconceptindicatestherelativemagnitudeofthezonalnonuniformabnormitytotheintensityofstationarywavesonthemonthlymeanscale.BasedontheLorenzcirculationdecomposition,thenonstationaritydegreeI_(us)(I_(us)~1)oftheglobal(local)stationarywavesisdefined,andthenusedtoanalyzethestationary-wavenonstationarityat30°-60°N,wheretheintensityofstationarywavesat500hPaintheNorthernHemisphere,asiswellknown,isveryhigh.Thefollowingfindingsareobtained:(1)Thereexistseasonalsouthwardandnorthwardmovementsinthepositionofthenonstationarityzonesoftheglobalstationarywaves.Thesteadystationarywavesoccurinmidlatitudes(35°-55°N)inwinterandinthesubtropicalregion(southof35°N)insummer,associatedwiththemajortroughsoverEastAsiaandNorthAmericaandtheweakEuropeantroughinwinter,andwiththerelativelysteadysubtropicalhighsysteminsummer.AhighvaluecenterofI_(us)isat35°Ninspringand50°Ninsummer,whichmightbecausedbytheseasonalvariationofstationary-waveintensity,particularlyinassociationwiththeinterannualvariabilityoftrough/ridgepositionsofstationarywavesonthemonthlymeanmaps.(2)ThereexistsobviousasymmetryinI_(us)~1,withthesteadyzonesalwayslocatedintheareascontrolledbystrongtroughs/ridgesandtheunsteadyonesintheareaswherethestationary-waveintensityislow.TheI_(us)~1inthesubtropics(southof35°N)islargerinwinterthaninsummer,andviceversainthemidlatituderegion(northof35°N).ThesummertimedistributionofI_(us)~1onthewholeshowsarathercomplicatedstructure.However,NorthEuropeisthemostunsteadyareaforlocalstationarywaves,asrepresentedbyhighvaluesofI_(us)~1inbothsummerandwinter,whileovertheNorthAmericancontinent(about120°E-60°W),theI_(us)~1isslightlylessthan1
简介:BasedonthetheoryofCanonicalCorrelationAnalysis(CCA),thecorrelationbetween500hPageopotentialheight(H)fieldsovertheNorthernHemisphere(NH)anda15-regionrainfall(R)fieldofChinainMayisstudied.Theresultsindicatethat:(1)thereisastrongrelationshipbetweentheHfieldsinJanuary/MayandtheRfieldinChina,(2)thevariationofthegeneralcirculationoverthewholeNH(especiallythe500hPaHfieldoverEuropeandAsia)canaffecttheRinChina,(3)inJanuaryandFebruarytheatmosphericgeneralcirculationcanaffecttheRmainlybymeansofplanetarywaves,whileinAprilandMaythemaincontrolmechanismcanbeduetosometeleconnections,and(4)thecharacteristicvectorsforRinMayandHfromJanuarytoMayhavewavetrainstructure,alternatingsignfromsouthtonorth.
简介:由于气候异常而出现的特大旱,涝灾害,它不仅使农业歉收,而且对经济建设有着严重的影响,同时它还威胁着人民生命财产的安全,还会造成社会的不稳定。本文首先引用古今中外严重旱、涝灾害发生和损失实例,看其危害性,并且从1600多年的余姚县志中摘出余姚历史上严重旱、涝记载,进一步分析旱、涝对余姚的严重影响。本文资料来源选取余姚县志中较为系统记载的540年,分别组合统计旱、涝出现年数,并按年代(0—9)十年为单位进行组合,共获得54个样本。通过方差周期分析与逐步回归相结合的数理统计方法,经微机处理,分别得出旱,涝年数的数学表达式:1.干旱
简介:利用1961年以来宁夏冬季逐日气温资料及NCEP再分析资料和环流特征量资料,重点分析了21世纪以来宁夏冬季气温异常特征及同期500hPa环流变化特征。结果表明:冬季平均气温和最低气温极小值明显上升,夜间气温异常偏低日数显著减少,白天气温异常偏高日数显著增加,大部分地区夜间气温异常偏低日数减少趋势大于白天气温异常偏高日数的增加趋势。21世纪以来,易发生极端冷暖事件,异常偏高年份多于异常偏低年份。2007/2008冬季以后为1997年以来冬季平均气温偏低频率最高时段;冬季阶段性平均气温异常有4个特征:(1)气温异常主要出现在1月和2月;(2)异常偏低的幅度明显大于异常偏高的幅度;(3)相邻2旬间气温变化幅度增大;(4)最冷时段发生变化。从年代际变化看,冬季平均气温、最低气温极小值、白天气温异常偏高日数为最高或次高值,夜间异常偏低日数多为最低或次低值。500hPa高度上宁夏上空是影响冬季气温异常的关键区,其年代际及冷暖年强度变化是造成气温异常的最直接原因。宁夏冬季气温对亚洲西风环流指数和西太平洋副热带高压强度指数的响应更加敏感。
简介:THECHANGESANDCLIMATICJUMPSINFERREDFROMTHEAGRICULTURALDRYNESSANDWETNESSINTHECHANGJIANG-HUAIHEVALLEYFORTHELAST500YEARSXueHeng(薛...
简介:通过对青海省2002年Milos500型自动站与人工观测站两种定时气温记录和最高、最低气温记录的对比分析,结果表明:自动站与人工站气温记录值的差异,主要与仪器的观测原理不同和观测时间不一致有关;气温变化较剧烈时两者之间的差异较大;气温差异存在季节性变化,但无明显的地域性;高原地区气温变化剧烈,两者偏差较大,自动站与人工观测站进行一定时间的平行观测十分重要。
简介:用22年(1973~1994年)观测资料,由循环主振荡型分析(CSPOP)揭示了东半球500hPa环流、雪盖和中国降水量耦合系统的3~4年振荡的循环过程。结果表明,环流-冰雪-降水系统耦合振荡(ASRO)存在显著的欧亚太平洋(EUP)和中国东部型(EC)耦合移动波列,其中500hPa高度与雪盖波列空间位相相反,但一致向东南方向移动,而中国降水波列由北向南传播。这反映出欧亚雪盖异常影响欧亚大陆和海洋加热对比,并通过大气内部动力过程激发的耦合空间波的能量频散途径。
简介:Inthispaper,byusingspectralmethod,themonthly-andseasonal-scaleatmosphericdiabaticheatflow(ADHF)departurefieldsarediagnosedintheperiodof1964—1985with6ElNinoyearsand6anti-ElNinoyearsovertheNorthernhemisphere(NH).TheresultsshowthatElNinophenomenahavepronouncedinfluenceontheADHFdepar-turefields.Theresponseofatmosphereexhibitsapreferredarrangementoforganizingpositiveandnegativedeparturecentersatlow,middleandhighlatitudes.Inanti-ElNinoyears,theresponsehasthesameformsasinElNinoyears,butdeparturecentersareoppositeinphase.Furthermore,ADHFdepartureshowslow-frequencyoscillationinElNinoyearsandanti-ElNinoyears.ThecenterofdifferenceindeparturebetweenElNinoandanti-ElNinoyearsdisplaysabi-monthlyoscillation.Finally,throughair-seacorrelationanalysis,itispointedoutthattheSSTanomalyisthemostimportantcauseforADHFanomaly.
简介:利用1951—2004年全国160站降水资料和NCEP/NCAR500hPa月平均资料,从中纬度西风环流、位势高度、纬向风、经向风、垂直速度场等方面,分析了长江中下游地区6—7月降水与500hPa大气环流的关系。结果表明,欧亚中纬度地区西风带多雨、少雨年均表现为长波的两槽两脊形势,但是槽脊系统差异显著。长江中下游地区降水与东亚500hPa上空位势高度场、纬向风、经向风、垂直速度场均有显著的关系,进一步证明了长江中下游地区6—7月降水与500hPa大气环流有密切关系。