简介：Tosimulatetherumorpropagationprocessononlinesocialnetworkduringemergency,anewrumorpropagationmodelwasbuiltbasedonactiveimmunemechanism.Therumorpropagationmechanismswereanalyzedandcorrespondingparametersweredefined.BAscalefreenetworkandNWsmallworldnetworkthatcanbeusedforrepresentingtheonlinesocialnetworkstructurewereconstructedandtheircharacteristicswerecompared.Agent-basedsimulationswereconductedonbothnetworksandresultsshowthatBAscalefreenetworkismoreconductivetospreadingrumorsanditcanfacilitatetherumorrefutationprocessatthesametime.Rumorspaidattentiontobymorepeopleislikelytospreadquickerandbroaderbutforwhichtherumorrefutationprocesswillbemoreeffective.Themodelprovidesausefultoolforunderstandingandpredictingtherumorpropagationprocessononlinesocialnetworkduringemergency,providingusefulinstructionsforrumorpropagationintervention.

简介：Basedonthesystemdynamics(SD)model,thispaperputsforwardaquantitativemethodtoevaluatetheearthquakeemergencyplaninChina.Firstly,weanalyzethedisastersystemstructureandthecontentofplan.Usingtheanalysisresults,weestablishasystemdynamics(SD)modelandthencarryoutitssimulation.Accordingtothesimulationresults,therescueeffectusingtheplanof2012isbetterthanthatof2006.Fromthepolicylevel,inordertoreduceloss,governmentshouldmaintaincommunicationsmoothly,improvetheabilityofselfandmutualhelp,strengthenthemanagementofpublicopinion,andpaymoreattentiontosecondarydisasters.

简介：Inthefinancemarket,riskhappenedintwopattern.Inonecase,extremevolatilitytogetherwithashortbalancetimeleadstoagreatpanictothemarket.Onthecontrary,ifthevolatilityissmaller,thetimeperiodwillusuallybelonger.Itwillbringmanyinfectionstovariousrelatedfields,whichcauseswiderrangeinfluencestotheeconomy.Bothcaseshurtfinancialmarketandtheeconomyitselfdeeply.Inthispaper,wedevelopedanovelmarketregulationmethodinwhichtheconflictoffluctuationtimeandvolatilitywillbebalanced.Itdescribesawaytocomputeaportfolioofrelativelyshorttimeperiodtogetherwithsmallerfluctuationvolatilitybyusingageneralpredictionalgorithmbasedonovershootincybernetics.Itcanalsogiveexplanationtocounter-cyclicalsupervisiontheoryandmacro-prudentialregulation.Furthermore,itcanprovidenumericaloperationguideforcountercyclicalsupervisiontheoryandmacro-prudentialregulation.

简介：Inthepalletpoolsystem,thedifferentiationofpalletizedfreightvolumesindifferentregionsandseasonaltransportofcertaingoodsleadtotheimbalanceofpalletsdistributionamongregions.Itisnecessarytoimprovetheutilizationofpalletsthroughdispatching.Thepaperanalyzesthefactorswhichaffectemptypalletsdispatching,itincludescarbonemission,transportationtimeandpallettypebasedonthepalletpoolmodeofenterprisealliance.Onthisbasis,theoptimizationmodelisestablishedwiththegoalofminimumtotaldispatchingcost.Then,accordingtothedifferentinfluencesofrailwayandhighwayintransportationcost,thedispatchingschemeisanalyzedandthetransportationmodeofemptypalletsdispatchingisdetermined.Consideringthecharacteristicsofmodel,Cplexisusedtosolveit.Finally,acaseisusedtoverifythefeasibilityandsuperiorityofreasonableemptypalletsdispatchingindifferenttransportationmodes,andthetransportcharacteristicsoftwotransportationmodesareanalyzed.Moreover,thecostsofpalletsleasinganddispatchingarecompared.

简介：从大规模人的活动的增加的碳排出物贡献了全球气候变化，它导致了重要人的危机的增加。因此，作为碳，消退是公众好，应付气候变化也是一公众好；然而，它受不了许多免费骑手的刺激，导致commons的一个悲剧。从一个全身的观点克服这挑战，要求象全球、国家、地区性的层次上的工业，管理，和公民那样的所有部门从事低碳的开发和晴朗、有效的气候政策的实现。通过碳消退的理论探索和对低碳的系统的全身的描述，这份报纸为应付气候变化开发了一个控制论的框架，它为数据分析，为决定支持的元合成的工程，广泛的咨询的一条多中心的途径和各种各样的功能的目标成就模块由一个云平台组成。在这个基础上，由联合不可见的手和可见的手并且由在全球水平集成协商，在国家水平的合作和在本地水平的知识，一个multilevel决策模型被建议到地址建筑群气候变化问题。基于的创新途径能提供的这个控制论的范例珍贵照明到寻求应付气候的股东变化。

简介：Thegeneralizedautoregressiveconditionalheteroskedasticity(GARCH)typemodelsareusedtoinvestigatethevolatilityofBangladeshstockmarket.Thefindingsofthestudydemonstratethattheindexvolatilitycharacteristicschangesovertime.Thearticleshowsthatthedataaredividedintothreesub-periods:precrisis,crisis,andpostcrisis.Accordingly,theresultsofthefindingsindicatechangesintheGARCH-typemodelsparameter,riskpremiumandpersistenceofvolatilityindifferentperiods.Asignificant'low-yieldassociatedwithhigh-risk'phenomenonisdetectedinthecrisisperiodandthe'leverageeffect'occursineachperiods.Theinvestorsareirrationalwhichisbasedonassumptionofriskandreturncharacteristicsofassets.Consequently,themarketisnotasmatureasdevelopedmarket.Itisfoundinthearticlethatthethresholdgeneralizedautoregressiveconditionalheteroskedasticity(TGARCH)modelismoreaccurateforthemodelaccuracy.Additionally,statisticerrormeasurementsindicatethatGARCHmodelismoreefficientthanothersandithasalsomoreforecastingability.

简介：为连续混乱系统获得的合适的稳定条件被概括到分离时间的混乱系统。建议途径，导致这些条件因为完全的同步为稳定性研究基于州的反馈和聚集技术的使用为系统描述与箭头形式矩阵联系了。结果成功地被申请为有一样的非相同的分离时间的混乱系统的有不同订单并且也的二张相同分离时间的亢奋的混乱Henon地图也就是订Lozi和Ushio地图。

简介：Inthispaper,weanalyzethe180stockswhichhavethepotentialinfluenceontheShanghaiStockExchange(SSE).First,weusethestockclosingpricesfromJanuary1,2005toJune19,2015tocalculatelogarithmicthecorrelationcoefficientandthenbuildthestockmarketmodelbythresholdmethod.Secondly,accordingtodifferentnetworksunderdifferentthresholds,wefindoutthepotentialinfluencestocksonthebasisoflocalstructuralcentrality.Finally,bycomparingtheaccuracyofsimilarityindexofthelocalinformationandpathinthelinkpredictionmethod,wedemonstratethattherearebestsimilarityindextopredicttheprobabilityfornodesconnectioninthedifferentstocknetworks.

简介：瓷器公司在中国由于证券市场的发展吸引了许多注意。列出的中国公司的列出的地位成为暗示一张股票的潜在的风险的重要指示物。当他们做进一步的决定时，因此预言列出的中国公司的地位为股东和投资者显然是关键的。根据为中国公司的四可能的清单地位，研究人员们作为在数据采矿区域典型的一个分类问题提出上述问题。很多的分类技术被实现了基于他们的金融因素预言列出的中国公司的地位。通常，为每列出的公司有超过150个金融因素，并且特征选择在分类方法的实现前被需要。在文学，研究人员与变化使用了t测试选择相关因素的通货膨胀因素(VIF)分析。然而，如此的方法不能在高维的盒子中被使用。在这份报纸，我们使用惩罚回归的想法基于一个逻辑回归模型选择感兴趣的因素，然后使用流行分类方法预言公司地位。我们的结果证明建议方法能发现更代表性的因素并且改进分类方法的预言精确性。

简介：当越来越多的公司捕获了并且分析了数据的巨大的卷改进供应链的性能，这份报纸开发把大数据用作输入在食物供应链做更多的明智的生产决定的一个大数据收获模型。由介绍贝叶斯的网络的一个方法，这份报纸集成样品数据并且发现在数据之间的cause-and-effect预言市场需求。然后，把产品需求翻译成进程并且把进程划分成任务和财产的推理图模型被介绍，并且在食物供应链的大数据怎么能与贝叶斯的网络被相结合的一个例子和推理图当模特儿指导生产决定。我们的结论显示分析框架为由从大数据提取价值支持支持决策有广阔潜力。

简介：Inthispaper,agamemodelcomposedofthreesubjects—government,manufacturerandconsumerhasbeenbuiltbyusingEvolutionaryGameTheoryonthebasisofanalyzingthetrilateralgamestrategyofwastemobilereversesupplychainbasedonECP;anevolutionaryequilibriummodelistobesoughtforbyutilizingthereplicationdynamicdifferentialequationmethod;andthetrilateralgamestrategy’srevolutionarytrendandconsistencyhavebeenanalyzedbymeansofSDsimulationmethodwhengovernmentimplementsthestaticordynamicrewardandpunishmentstrategy.Thefindingresultsrevealthat,underthestaticrewardandpunishmentstrategy,therevolutionaryprocessoftrilateralgamestrategyisalwaysunstablewhethertheinitialbehaviorstrategyisunitaryormixed.Therefore,itismorereasonableforthegovernmenttoadoptthestrategyofdynamicrewardandpunishment,anditisalsostableandreciprocalforallthestakeholderswhenimplementingthisstrategy.

简介：在这份报纸，data-based控制问题在反馈和前面的隧道象包退学学生一样与测量噪音为联网的非线性的系统的一个类被调查。测量噪音和在两条隧道的连续的包退学学生的数字被假定随机却围住。data-based联网了预兆的控制方法被建议，在哪个控制增长预言的一个序列基于测量产量错误，并且基于致动器收到的控制增长预言在控制器被计算，一个合适的控制行动被获得并且在每采样片刻根据连续的包退学学生的即时数字适用于植物。然后，稳定性分析为联网的closedloop系统被执行。最后，建议方法的有效性被一个数字例子说明。

简介：Socialmediaandconsumerbehaviorareincreasinglyimportantinbusinessnowadays.Asanewformofadvertising,socialmediadofacilitatetheincreaseindemandandbringachallengetomanufactures.Whileresearchersdemonstratedthatinsufficientcapacitygeneratesthelossintheprocessofsales,anoppositeconclusionhasbeenobtainedthattheprofitislargerininsufficientcapacity.Thisstudyinvestigatesthissituationofamanufacturer.Wedevelopamultiperiodmodelofinsufficientcapacityconcerningwithsocialmediaandconsumerbehavior.Ancalculationofthemodelindicatesthatagreatchangeappearsinthedemandofeachperiod.Toensurethemaximumprofit,thecapacityofeachperiodiscomputed.Andtheprofitisalmost8timeslargerthanthatwedonotconsidersocialmediaandconsumerbehavior.Wediscusstheimplicationsofourfindingsforboththeoryandpractice.

简介：在这份报纸，易于不同骚乱的一般异构的非线性的多代理人系统的输出一致问题被考虑。一种Takagi-Sukeno模糊建模方法被用来描述非线性的代理人动力学。基于模型，一个分布式的模糊观察员和控制器基于分布式的赔偿计划和内部引用建模的平行被设计以便异构的非线性的多代理人系统能完成输出一致。然后，一个必要、足够的条件为产量一致问题被介绍。并且全球模糊模型的一致轨道被网络拓扑学和内部参考书模型的起始的状态决定，这被显示出。最后，一些模拟被给说明并且验证建议计划的有效性。

简介：Inthispaper,weinvestigatethedisparitiesofChina’sinsurancemarketfromtheviewpointofgeographyandenterprisebyusingthemonthlydatafromJanuary2006toDecember2015.Wedividethewholeinsurancemarketintotwoparts,namelypropertyinsuranceandpersonalinsurance.Byconstructingandanalyzingminimumspanningtreesofinsurancemarket,weobtaintheresultsasfollows:(i)Theconnectionsbetweenprovincesaremuchcloserthanthoseoffirms,andthereareregionallinksbetweenneighboringprovincesintheminimumspanningtree(MST);and(ii)thedomesticfundedfirmsandforeignfundedfirmsformtwoexplicitclustersintheMSTsofpropertyandpersonalinsurancemarket.

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