简介:TheEuropeanMonetaryUnion(EMU)appearedunprecedentedlyontheworldsceneas12Europeancountriesvoluntarilygaveuppartoftheirsovereigntytocreatearegionalmonetarysystem.TheintroductionofeurocurrencyisundoubtedlyacrucialsteptowardfurtherEuropeanintegration.
简介:Thisarticleconsidersthreatstoaprojectslippingonbudget,scheduleandfit-for-purpose.Threatisusedhereasthecollectiveforrisks(quantifiablebadthingsthatcanhappen)anduncertainties(poorlyornotquantifiablebadpossibleevents).Basedonexperiencewithprojectsindevelopingcountriesthisreviewconsidersthat(a)projectslippageisduetouncertaintiesratherthanrisks,(b)whileeventuationofsomebadthingsisbeyondcontrol,managedexecutionandoversightarestiltheprimarymeanstokeepingwithinbudget,ontimeandfit-for-purpose,(c)improvingprojectdeliveryislessaboutbiggerandmorecomplexandmoreaboutcoordinatedfocus,effectivenessanddevelopingthought-outheuristics,and(d)projectstakelongerandcostmorepartlybecausethreatidentificationisinaccurate,thescopeofidentifiedthreatsistoonarrow,andthethreatassessmentproductisnotintegratedintooverallprojectdecision-makingandexecution.Almostbydefinition,whatispoorlyknownislikelytocauseproblems.Yetitisnotjusttheunquantifiabilityandintangibilityofuncertaintiescausingprojectslippage,butthattheyareinsufficientlytakenintoaccountinprojectplanningandexecutionthatcausebudgetandtimeoverruns.Improvingprojectperformancerequirespurpose-drivenandmanageddeploymentofscarceseasonedprofessionals.Thiscanbeaidedwithindependentoversightbydeeplyexperiencedpanelistswhocontributetechnicalinsightsandcanpotentiallyshowthatdiligenceisseentobedone.
简介:Corecompetitivenessisthesourceofcompetitiveadvantagesaswellastheguaranteeofvaluegrowthoftheenterprise.Thispaperdiscussesthecauseoftherisksofthecorecompetitivenessofenterprisesandthewestenterprise,introducesanalyticalmethodsoftherisksofthecorecompetitivenessandmeasuresguardagainsttherisksofthecorecompetitiveness.
简介:Thispaperdealswiththeissueofprioritysettinginhealthcareunderuncertaintiesabouttheseverityoftheillnessandtheeffectivenessofmedicaltreatment.Weexaminetheeffectofadiseaseuncertainty(atreatmentuncertainty)ontheallocationofhealthcareresourcesinthepresenceofatreatmentrisk(adiseaserisk)andidentifypreferenceconditionsunderwhichthesocialplannerallocatesmoreresourcestohigherriskpopulation.Weallowforthesimultaneouspresenceoftworisksandinvestigatethejointeffectoftwo-sourceuncertaintiesonhealthcareallocationwhenthetworisksareeithersmallorpositivelyquadrantdependent.Theeffectofinequalityaversiononhealthcareallocationisalsoanalyzedbyintroducinganequityweightingfunction.Ourworkextendsthepreviousmodelofhealthcareprioritytotwo-riskframeworkandprovidesnewinsightsintotheproblemofhealthcaredecisionmakingunderuncertainty.