简介:Deterrenceandcoercionaretwokindsofstrategies,thelatterbeingmoreaggressivethantheformer.TheU.S.Asia-PacificRebalancingstrategyisanimportantdiplomaticlegacyofObama'sadministration.FortheissuesinvolvingtheDiaoyuIslands,theSouthChinaSea,cybersecurity,DPRK'snuclearprogram,andIran'snuclearprogram,theU.S.hascarriedoutmilitarydeterrenceandnon-forcecoercionagainstChina.Butgenerally,thesearelow-levelcoercivemeasuresanddistinctfromthesevereeconomicsanctionanddiplomaticisolationimposedbytheU.S.onRussia,Syria,DPRKandIraninrecentyears.ConcerningissueswheretheU.S.andChinaholddistinctviews,therewouldbelessstrategicleewayforthetwocountries.IftheU.S.istostrengthendeterrenceandcoerciontowardsChina,Chinacanrespondmoreactivelyandeffectively,butitwillbemoredifficulttobuildanewmodelofChina-U.S.major-countryrelationship.
简介:TheUnitedStateshascriticizedthedomesticandforeignpoliciesoftheMugaberegime,andhasattemptedtoraisetheZimbabweissueintheUNSecurityCouncil,thuscreatingapointofpotenti
简介:PresidentBushwontheelectionwithhighersupportthanexpectedinthisU.S.election.TheRepublicansalsooccupiedgreaterproportioninboththeSenateandtheHouseofRepresentatives.ThisrevealsthatU.S.societytendstobemoreconservative.Theelectionprocessandresultshowsthattheinfluenceofthemonologuefinancialgroupsoneconomicpolicy,theinfluenceofreligiousright-wingersonideologyandstatepolitics,theinfluenceofthemilitaryindustrialgroupsondefensepolicyandtheinfluenceoftheneo-conservatismonforeignstrategyhaveincreased.
简介:Sino-U.S.relationshavefluctuatedsincethebeginningof2010.Whatareprospectsfortheirdevelopment?Willitbefiercerstrategiccompetitionorwillitbelong-termstrategicstability?Takingintotheinternationalsystemandtransitionsinglobalpower,thisessayanalyzesrecentchangesinSino-U.S.relationsandU.S.strategicassessmentofChina.ProspectsforandfuturetrendsinSino-U.S.relationswillbediscussed.SinceSino-U.S.relationshavealwaysbeenbasedontheinteractionofmultiplefactors,thisessayraisesnewquestionsratherthansimplydrawingspecificconclusions.Sino-U.S.relationshavetakenonanewlook,seasonedastheyarebytheglobalfinancialcrisisanddramaticreversalsoffortune:thereisaslowtransitiontowardsreconciliationthoughcompetitionstillcontinues.Moreimportantly,bothsidesseemtobeponderingamoreprofoundproblem:isthisthebeginningofadeeperstrategiccontestoristhistheprequeltorealstrategicstability?WhereisSino-U.S.relationsheaded?
简介:TheimmediatecausesfortheincreasinginstabilityofSino-U.S.relationsarethenarrowinggapinnationalstrengthbetweenthetwo.Whilecontinuingtheirrespectiveinternalchanges,bothChinaandtheU.S.willtrytoinfluenceeachother.Theywillseektoexpandbilateralstrategiccooperationandplaystrategicgames,aimingtoreducerisksbutnotantagonizetheotherside.
简介:Wang:Ibelievethattheabovecomparisonsofthetwo"warsonIraq"areexcellent.TheUnitedStateshasmadeitclearthatitspresentmilitaryactionsareaimingat"topplingSaddam."ItseemsthatWashingtonhaslongmadepreparationsfortheactions,andwilldomoreinthefuture.
简介:ThewarinIraqiscomingtoanend,andthemilitaryactionsaregivingplacetothereconstructionsofthatcountry’spolitical,economicandsocialsystems.Thiswarmarksamajoreventininternationalrela
简介:U.S.sanctionsonIranhaveexpandedsincethestartoftheIraniannuclearissue.Theyhavegrownfromsmall-scaleembargoestotoday’ssanctionsonmultiplesectorsincludingfinance,trade,energy,andpersonnel.DuringU.S.PresidentBarackObama’stenure,thereisverylittlelikelihoodthattheU.S.willresorttoforce,leavingWashingtonwithnoothermeansthansanctionstopersuadeIrantochangeitsnuclearpolicy.Thismeansthatalthoughsanctionshavealimitedeffect,theU.S.willcontinuetoprimarilyrelyonthemtoforceIran’shand.
简介:DifficultiestheU.S.high-techindustryisnowfacingmaybeonlytemporarybutuncertaintyoverlawsandpoliciescouldcreateasetback.Theemergingtransformationbasedonadvancedrobotics,3-Dmanufacturing,newmaterials,bigdataanddigitalization,whichsomeconsidera"third"industrialrevolution,willcometofullflowerlaterthanexpectediftheAmericangovernmentfailstofine-tunerelevantlawsand
简介:TheRepublicanseizureofCongressmajority(53seatsinthe100-seatSenateand230outof435Houseseats)putanendtoa40-yearHousedominationbytheDemocratsandconsequentlytheirsimultaneouscontrolofboththepresidencyandthelegislature.ThiswillmeantightercongressionalrestraintsoverBillClintoninthetworemainingyearsofhispresidency.Whatismore,theRepublicansalsowon31of50governorshipsandtheirgainsinclude8ofthe10crucialbiggeststatessuchasCalifornia,NewYorkandTexas,asituationboundtomakegreatimpactonthe1996presidentialrace.
简介:Wang:Wehavediscussedissuesconcerningtheinfluenceof"overthrowingSaddam"attheregionallevelanditstrend.Next,itisnecessaryforustogodeeperanddiscussitatthegloballevel.Itisveryclearthat"strikingIraq,""overthrowingSaddam,"and"transforming
简介:TheU.S.Presidentialcampaignin2004revealedaphenomenonofhigh"polarization"inAmericansociety,anditalsoexposedthesharpcompetitionbetweenthetwopoliticalforces--liberalandconservative.FinallymoreoftheconstituencyvotedforBush,henceMr.Bushwonre-election.ThishasnotonlychangedtheBushfamily'sfateof"winningawarbutlosingelection,"butalsohelpedBushcleanuphispsychologicalshadowofhis"presidency"decidedbytheSupremeCourtinthelastgeneralelection.Asa"wartimepresident,undoubtedlyBushwillbecomegreaterpoliticalconfidenceforhissecondterm.
简介:WhetherthereisaglobalstrategyintheU.S.ornotisstillanopenquestion.ManyAmericansinsistthatsincepresidentialelectiontakesplaceeveryfouryears,it’ssimplyimpossibleforanyPresidenttoworkoutaglobalstrategyinsuchashorttime.Judgedbytheimportantfactorssuchasstrategyenvironmentassessment,targetformulation,strategyconnotationexpansionandeffectevaluation,itis,infact,verydifficulttofindoutacountrywithamaturedforeign,local
简介:Sino-U.S.economicandtraderelationsaremovingintoaneraof"competitiveinterdependence".Aneconomicandtraderelationshipthatismutuallybeneficialandwin-wininessenceisfacingchallengesthatfeatureacompetitive,zero-sumgamewhichpursuesrelativegains.Mutualsuspicionisthepsychologicalrootofthezero-sumgamebetweenChinaandtheU.S.whilethecognitiverootoftheirmutualsuspicionisthesenseofuncertaintyandlackofself-confidenceaboutthefutureofitsownandtheotherside.
简介:OnAugust1-2,ChinaandtheUnitedStatesheldastrategicdialogue.ThisisinfactthefirstmechanizedstrategicdialoguebetweenChinaandAmerica.Bothsidesdecidedtoholdsuchadialoguealternativelyineachother'scapitaltwiceayear.Thesignificanceofthefirstcomprehensiveandmechanizedseniordialoguebetweenthetwosidestodiscussstrategicissuesofcommoninterestcannotbeunderestimated.Therefore,itwasaneventthatattractedworldwideattention.Apartfrompayingattentiontothedialogueitself,themediahopetofullyunderstandthecauseofthedialogue,theresultofthefirststrategictalk,theinfluenceofthetalkonbilateralrelations.TheEditorialDepartmentofContemporaryInternationalRelationsinvitedscholarsfromtheInstituteofAmericanstudiesofChinaInstitutesofContemporaryInternationalRelationstoholdadiscussiontoprovideourreaderssomefoodforthoughtoverrelevantissues.
简介:TheU.S.'newly-reinforcedAsia-Pacificalliancehasturnedouttobeanimportantfactorinfluencingtheregionallandscapeandbigpowerrelations.Historically,theclosepoliticalandmilitarycooperationbetweentheU.S.anditsallieswasoneofthefactorsthathelpeditwintheColdWar.AftertheendoftheColdWar
简介:Asinternationalstrategicstructureevolves,dramaticchangeshavetakenplaceinthetriangularrelationshipamongtheUnitedStates,IndiaandPakistanoverthepastfewyears.TherelativelybalancedsharptriangleshapedintheearlyperiodaftertheColdWarhasbeenreplacedbyanobtuseonecharacterizedby"warmU.S.-IndorelationshipanddistantU.