Changing trends and determinating factors of trade-embodied CO2 emissions in China

(整期优先)网络出版时间:2017-02-12
/ 1
Embodiedcarbonintradehasattractedtheattentionofresearchers,developers,andindustryleadersworldwide,asithasbecomeaconsiderablesourceoftradeconflict.BecauseChinaistheworld’sleadingcarbon-emittingcountry,itisimportanttostudythechangetrendsofembodiedCO2inChinesetradetoidentifykeyinfluencingfactors.ThispaperinvestigatesthetradeembodiedCO2inChina,withspecialfocusontheproductionprocessandmaterialsofeachindustrialsectorfrom1990to2013.Thisstudywasconductedbyusinganinput-outputmodel,whichanalyzesthespecificcausesofperiodicwaves.Ourfindingssuggestthatthemachinemanufacturingsectorproducedthelargestshareofemissions,whereasthemetalandnon-metalsectorhasthehighestemissionintensity.Moreover,thetotalemissionquantitiesintradeincreasedfrom612to3331milliontonsin1990to2013,aperiodcharacterizedbydecentralizedtrendsinemissionsexportedtotradepartners.Wealsoemployedthelog-meanpisiaindex(LMDI)modeltodecomposethecarbonemissionschangesintoexportstructure,exportscale,energystructure,andenergyintensity,andestimatetheinfluenceofthesefactorsatanumberoftimepoints.Wefoundthatenergyintensitycurbsemissionsincrease,andthatexportscaleexpansionisthestrongestdrivingforce.