简介:热带降雨测量的影响结构和intraseasonal摆动(ISO)的内在的物理上的使命(TRMM)降水产品与美国国家航空学和观察系统模型版本3的空格管理戈达德土(GEOS-3)被调查数据吸收系统(DAS)。在1998夏天的强壮的ISO阶段显然位于亚洲季风区域和东方赤道的和平的区域。当向东北的繁殖是在30点的突出的ISO到超过10的60天的摆动时,东方繁殖是为在20点的热带ISO的一个主导的特征到30天的摆动
简介:Dailysnowdatafor2300climatestationscoveringtheperiodfrom1951through1980havebeenusedtomonitoranddiagnosesecularvariations,year-to-yearfluctuations,andthespatialcharacteristicsofsnowvariationtrendsinChina.AnexaminationoftimeseriesrevealsthatthereisastrongteleconnctiontoENSO,tomajorvolcaniceruptions,aswellastotheCO2-inducedwarming.Thecountry-widesnowmassvariationsarepositivelycorrelatedwithglobalmeantemperature,increasingduringthecurrentwarmingperiodanddecreasingduringtherecentcoolingperiodpriortothemid1960s.AsynchronousrelationshipexistsbetweenElNino/SouthernOscillationandsnowywinterinChina.Theyear-to-yearsnowfluctuationsseemtobegenerallyoutofphasewithvolcanicactivity.Theanomalymapshowsthatsnowmassincreasedinhighaltitudesandmoistregions,whileitdecreasedinaridlowlandandthesouthernbounda-ryzoneduringthewarmingperiod.ThepotentialCO2-inducedchangesinsnowmasswillfurtheraggravatetheregionaldifferentiationbetweenhighmountainsandlowlands,betweenmoistandaridregions.Thenumberofsnowcoverdayswilldecreaseinthenorthernlowlands,andsnowfallwillincreaseintheQinghai-XizangPlateau,highmountains,andthelowerreachesoftheChangjiang(Yangtze)River.
简介:Byusingtheupper-winddatafromJuly1980toJune1983,thevariationsofthelow-frequencyoscillation(LFO)intheatmospherebeforeandduring1982ElNinohavebeeninvestigated.BeforetheElNino,theLFOpropagatesfromwesttoeastovertheequatoroftheEasternHemisphereandfromeasttowestover20°N.TheeastwardpropagatingLFOovertheequatorconsistsofzonalwavenumber1propagatingeastwardandzonalwavenumber2withacharacterofstationarywave.Theoscillationofzonalwavenumber2canmodulatetheoscillationstrength.AftertheonsetoftheElNino,thepropagatingdirectionsoftheLFOovertheequatorand20°NoftheEasternHemispherechangetobewestwardandeastward,respectively.TheLFOoverthewesternPacificweakensrapidlyandonecomingfrommiddleandhighlatitudespropagatestotheequator.Fromthephasecompositionsofstreamlinefieldsforthezonalwavenumber1ofequatorialwestwardpropa-gatirgLFO,itisfoundthattheatmosphericheatsourceintheequatoroftheeasternPacific(EEP)excitesaseriesoftheequatorialcyclonesandanticycloneswhichmovenorthwardandwestwardandformthewestwardpropagatingLFOovertheequator.Withthewavelengthof20000km,thiskindofequatorialwaveissimilartothemixingRossby-gravitywave.Initswestwardandnorthwardmovement,thecirculationinEastAsiaismodified.ThismaybethemechanismoftheinfluenceofElNinoontheclimateofChina.
简介:AsimulationofclimatechangetrendsoverNorthChinainthepast50yearsandfuture30yearswasperformedwiththeactualgreenhousegasconcentrationandIPCCSRESB2scenarioconcentrationbyIAP/LASGGOALS4.0(GlobalOcean-Atmosphere-Landsystemcoupledmodel),developedbytheStateKeyLaboratoryofNumericalModellingforAtmosphericSciencesandGeophysicalFluidDynamics(LASG),InstituteofAtmosphericPhysics(IAP),ChineseAcademyofSciences(CAS).Inordertovalidatethemodel,themodernclimateduring1951-2000wasfirstsimulatedbytheGOALSmodelwiththeactualgreenhousegasconcentration,andthesimulationresultswerecomparedwithobserveddata.Thesimulationresultsbasicallyreproducethelowertemperaturefromthe1960stomid-19?0sandthewarmingfromthe1980sfortheglobeandNorthernHemisphere,andbettertheimportantcold(1950-1976)andwarm(1977-2000)periodsinthepast50yearsoverNorthChina.Thecorrelationcoefficientis0.34betweensimulationsandobservations(significantatamorethan0.05confidencelevel).TherangeofwintertemperaturedeparturesforNorthChinaisbetweenthosefortheeasternandwesternChina'sMainland.Meanwhile,thesummerprecipitationtrendturningaroundthe1980sisalsosuccessfullysimulated.Theclimatechangetrendsinthefuture30yearsweresimulatedwiththeCO_2concentrationunderIPCCSRES-B2emissionscenario.Theresultsshowthat,inthefuture30years,wintertemperaturewillkeepawarmingtrendinNorthChinaandincreasebyabout2.5℃relativetoclimatemean(1960-1990).Meanwhile,summerprecipitationwillobviouslyincreaseinNorthChinaanddecreaseinSouthChina,displayingasouth-deficit-north-excessivepatternofprecipitation.
简介:TheoreticalstudyanddevelopmentofaduallinearpolarizationweatherradarinChinaarebrieflypresented.Alsodiscussedarethepotentialusesofthenewradarsysteminimprovingtheaccuracyofarealrainfallmeasure-mentsandanalysingthespacialstructureofstormsanddistributionofhydrometecrsincloudsbasedontheradarobservationaldatafromthefieldexperimcntsduringthesummersof1987—1989.TheresultsindicatethataC-banddualpolarizationweatherradar,afterconsideringthemicrowaveattenuationcorrection,maybeemployedtoquantitativelymeasurerainfallandtomonitorheavyrainandfloodeventsandbecomesanimpor-rantmeanstostudystormstructure.
简介:为使用高度重新分配改进导出卫星的大气的运动向量(AMV)的质量的一个方法被介绍。位于高度重新分配下面的基本原理被探索,并且技术细节被使用使用NCEP分析风的三个高度重新分配计划学习。AMV的质量通常被改进跟随重新分配,尽管改进的大小根据使用的计划不同。计划3提供最好的质量和稳定性,在计划1和计划2列在后面。在AMV的带的部件的否定偏爱减少从[5,4]ms1到<1ms1追随者重新分配。南方的部件也改善。AMV源于红外线并且水蒸汽隧道分别地在58.7%和25%改善。使用在AMV的运作的推导的计划3的可行性被合并T511中等范围的数字天气预言(NWP)预言的预报风领域学习系统。合并12-h预报在从水蒸汽隧道检索的南方的风中在带的风和积极偏爱中减少否定偏爱,改进在26.7%的AMV的全面质量。线性地扩大预报领域的有效性时期在检索AMV减少改进,但是这减小的大小是小的。合并120-h预报地仍然导致13%改进,尽管它可以消除好质量的很多AMV。
简介:Abaroclinicsemi-geostrophicmodelwithevaporation-windfeedbackmechanism(EWFM)andCISKisestablished,twonon-dimensionalparametersaandηareintroducedtorepresentEWFMandCISK,respectively.Analyticsolutionsofthemodelsystemareobtained,dynamicsanalysesandthemodelatmospherecalculationsfurtherconfirmthatEWFMandCISKareveryimportantphysicalprocessesinleadingtothelow-frequencyoscillationsinthetropics.
简介:Toaddtothegrowingmatureresearchonthetropical30-50dayoscillationsfromanewprospective,thecurrentworkbasesondynamicanalysisofbaroclinicquasi-geostrophicmodelstodiscussdynamicmechanismsforthegenerationandpropagationofCISK-Rossbywaves,andtounderstandrestraintsandeffectsofdifferentwavestructuresandthermodynamicforcingonthe30-50dayoscillationsinthetropicalatmosphere.Someimportantpropertiesoftheoscillationpropagationhavebeenexplainedand,indetail,withrespecttoitsmeridionalpropagationandvertical'baroclinic'structure.Theworkhascomeupwithsomenewopinionsandviewpoints.Newopinionsaboutthepropagationandenergydispersionaretobeprovedbymoreobservationsandstudy.