简介：BystatisticalresearchontheoccurrencepatternofsevereconvectiveweatherinJiangsuprovinceundertheinfluenceoftropicalcycloneswithina10-yearperiod(from2001to2010),thispaperdiscoversthatamongdifferentsevereconvectiveweather,theoccurrencefrequencyofshort-rangeheavyprecipitationisthehighest,thunderstormsandgalescomeinsecond,andgeneralthunderstormsrarelyhappen,whilehailstormsandtornadoesneveroccur.Thestatisticalresultsalsoshowedthatwithintheresearchperiodthereare21tropicalcyclones(TCs)affectingtheJiangsuareaandmostofthemareinthestageofweakeningtotropicaldepressions.Moreover,throughstudyingindicesforrelevantcasesofsevereconvection,itisdiscoveredthattheirthresholdsarelowerthanthatofpreviousresearch,whichindicatedthatconvectiveinstabilityandenergyaccumulationcaneasilyleadtosevereconvectiveweathereventuallyduetotheinfluenceofTCs.

简介：放弃的黄河三角洲(AYRD)的三角洲进化和侵蚀过程广泛地被学习了。然而，在沿着江苏的北方海岸的大沿岸的规模的沉积的变化少些被理解。在这研究，在2006和2012在黄河三角洲的沿岸的区域获得的表面沉积样品的数据被用来由使用geostatistics分析工具和谷物尺寸趋势学习沉积可变性和沉积运输趋势分析模型。为了保证模型，的适用性，geostatistics方法被用来决定典型距离(D<潜水艇class=“a-plus-plus”>有谷物尺寸参数的平均范围价值(Ao)的c)。过滤方法(搬迁数据不在一个采样车站)被用来改进数据的精确性选择。结果在Lianyun港口区域和放弃的黄河三角洲的南部的部分显示出那沉积空间关联(作为)在放弃的黄河三角洲的北部分比那好(一)。在区域的沉积被发现是在东北东南方向的anisotropy。谷物尺寸趋势分析表明沉积趋势向bayhead并且在Haizhou海湾南方，在东南沿着在南方Lianyun的海岸线移植，在西北在里面一and在东方在东南在里面作为分别地。在D之间的可能的关系的调查<潜水艇class=“a-plus-plus”>c,Ao，沉积运输和三角洲进化显示出在D之间的一个靠近的连接<潜水艇class=“a-plus-plus”>c和一沉积联合的Ao。沉积运输趋势能相当代表三角洲进化到某个度，这也被发现。

简介：Objective:Theaimofthisstudywastoestablishtheriskscoringsystemtowardstheadvancedcolorectalneoplasm(CN)riskintheaverage-riskpopulationsinthesouthernJiangsuProvince,andtoevaluatethescreeningefficacy.Methods:Totally905casesoftheaverage-riskpopulationswhoreceivedthecolonoscopywereselectedastheobjective.Themultivariatelogisticregressionanalysismethodwasusedtoestablishthescoringsystemtowardstheoccurrenceriskoftheadvancedtumor,anditsscreeningefficacywasevaluatedthroughthepredictionconsistency,distinguishingabilityandscreeningaccuracy.Results:Thescoringsystemconsistedoffivevariables,namelyage,gender,coronaryheartdisease,eggintakeandstoolfrequency.Theresultsrevealedthatithadgoodpredictionconsistency(P=0.205)anddistinguishingability[theareaunderthereceiveroperatingcharacteristic(ROC)curvewas0.75,with95%confidenceinterval(95%CI)of0.69-0.82].Thus,2.5pointswassetasthescreeningcutoffvalue,anditssensitivity,specificity,accuracy,positivepredictivevalue,negativepredictivevalue,positivelikelihoodratioandnegativelikelihoodratiowere93.8%,47.6%,50.1%,9.1%,99.3%,1.79and0.13,respectively.Conclusions:Theestablishedscoringsystemhadgoodscreeningefficacy,andcanbeusedasthescreeningtoolapplyingtotheCNscreeningwithintheaverage-riskpopulationsinthesouthernJiangsuProvince.